Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kulemin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kulemin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.3% vs Kulemin 46.1% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 54.1%
Defensive zone
Spezza 54.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 53.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Spezza
Kulemin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Spezza
Kulemin
Last 6: Spezza 3-3 Kulemin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kulemin
1
2
Spezza
Kulemin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Kulemin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Kulemin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kulemin
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,283)
41.8% (67)
+12.0%
Power Play
52.8% (303)
50.0% (6)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (89)
20.0% (5)
+29.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kulemin shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,197).
Spezza shoots right. Kulemin is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kulemin
Home
56.4% (853)
40.0% (35)
Away
50.5% (847)
41.9% (43)
By Period
Spezza
Kulemin
P1
53.4%
50.0%
P2
54.2%
29.0%
P3
53.4%
47.6%
Final 5 min
52.7%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Kulemin
42.0%▲
38.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 04:28 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Nikolay Kulemin |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Nikolay Kulemin |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Nikolay Kulemin |