Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Acciari 51.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 95.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 67.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 72.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Spezza
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Spezza
Acciari
Last 6: Spezza 4-2 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
52.8% (3,276)
+1.6%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
48.2% (85)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
47.1% (1,061)
+5.6%
On power play, Spezza has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Acciari is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Spezza
Acciari
Home
56.8% (5,066)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Spezza
Acciari
P1
55.7%
52.2%
P2
54.4%
51.5%
P3
54.1%
50.5%
OT
51.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |