Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.2% vs Acciari 48.2% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 90.2%
Defensive zone
Acciari 73.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 59.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Spezza
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Spezza
Acciari
Last 5: Spezza 3-2 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (346)
51.2% (557)
+1.4%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
35.7% (14)
+25.3%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (11)
40.8% (223)
+31.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Spezza is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Spezza shoots right. Acciari is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Spezza
Acciari
Home
56.0% (175)
49.0% (392)
Away
52.5% (223)
47.0% (402)
By Period
Spezza
Acciari
P1
56.8%
52.9%
P2
54.3%
44.7%
P3
50.8%
47.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |