Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Lindholm 48.8% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 94.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 57.2%
Neutral zone
Spezza 78.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Spezza
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Spezza
Lindholm
Last 7: Spezza 5-2 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Lindholm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Lindholm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
49.6% (510)
+4.8%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
50.0% (12)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
45.5% (178)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Lindholm is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Spezza
Lindholm
Home
56.8% (5,066)
49.4% (346)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
47.7% (354)
By Period
Spezza
Lindholm
P1
55.7%
42.2%
P2
54.4%
51.0%
P3
54.1%
51.9%
Final 5 min
54.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:44 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |