Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 57.3% vs Lindholm 50.1% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 95.3%
Defensive zone
Spezza 56.2%
Neutral zone
Spezza 78.5%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Spezza
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Spezza
Lindholm
Last 5: Spezza 4-1 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Lindholm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (697)
51.1% (274)
+6.9%
Power Play
60.0% (105)
33.3% (6)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
48.8% (127)
+11.2%
On power play, Spezza has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots left. Spezza is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Spezza shoots right. Lindholm is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Spezza
Lindholm
Home
58.2% (376)
56.3% (183)
Away
58.2% (431)
45.1% (224)
By Period
Spezza
Lindholm
P1
63.3%
47.7%
P2
54.9%
51.0%
P3
57.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
57.1%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |