Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dupuis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Dupuis 44.8% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 88.6%
Defensive zone
Spezza 79.5%
Neutral zone
Spezza 80.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Spezza
Dupuis
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Spezza
Dupuis
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Dupuis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Dupuis
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Dupuis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
2
Spezza
Dupuis
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Dupuis
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
45.6% (136)
+8.8%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
33.3% (24)
+23.5%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
40.4% (47)
+12.3%
On power play, Spezza has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dupuis shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Dupuis is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Spezza
Dupuis
Home
56.8% (5,066)
50.5% (101)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
34.9% (109)
By Period
Spezza
Dupuis
P1
55.7%
39.7%
P2
54.4%
40.0%
P3
54.1%
47.0%
OT
51.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Dupuis
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Pascal Dupuis |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Pascal Dupuis |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pascal Dupuis |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Pascal Dupuis |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Pascal Dupuis |