Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dupuis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.3% vs Dupuis 47.0% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 85.1%
Defensive zone
Spezza 69.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 80.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Spezza
Dupuis
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Spezza
Dupuis
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Dupuis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Dupuis
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Dupuis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
2
Spezza
Dupuis
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Dupuis
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,283)
51.3% (80)
+2.5%
Power Play
52.8% (303)
23.1% (13)
+29.7%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (89)
36.8% (19)
+12.6%
On power play, Spezza has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dupuis shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,197).
Spezza shoots right. Dupuis is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Spezza
Dupuis
Home
56.4% (853)
53.3% (60)
Away
50.5% (847)
34.5% (55)
By Period
Spezza
Dupuis
P1
53.4%
40.6%
P2
54.2%
40.6%
P3
53.4%
49.0%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Dupuis
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Pascal Dupuis |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Pascal Dupuis |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pascal Dupuis |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Pascal Dupuis |