Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Holland 45.9% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 89.7%
Defensive zone
Spezza 64.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 80.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Spezza
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Spezza
Holland
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
1
Spezza
Holland
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
2
Spezza
Holland
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
1
4
Spezza
Holland
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
45.6% (2,232)
+8.8%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
52.4% (126)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
42.3% (137)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Holland is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (890).
Home / Away
Spezza
Holland
Home
56.8% (5,066)
48.6% (1,288)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
42.7% (1,207)
By Period
Spezza
Holland
P1
55.7%
46.1%
P2
54.4%
47.3%
P3
54.1%
43.9%
OT
51.5%
39.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2018 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Peter Holland |