Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Spezza wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Holland 46.1% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 96.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 66.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 75.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Spezza
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Spezza
Holland
Last 7: Spezza 6-1 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
5
0
Spezza
Holland
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Holland
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
0
1
Spezza
Holland
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
45.4% (575)
+7.6%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
44.8% (29)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
46.9% (81)
+3.1%
On power play, Spezza has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Spezza shoots right. Holland is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Spezza
Holland
Home
56.4% (626)
47.2% (373)
Away
51.7% (636)
43.6% (312)
By Period
Spezza
Holland
P1
56.9%
46.8%
P2
51.9%
47.6%
P3
53.9%
42.5%
OT
46.2%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |