Jason Spezza vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Spezza wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.7% vs Dubois 44.8% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 69.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 74.5%
Neutral zone
Dubois 52.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Spezza
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Spezza
Dubois
Last 9: Spezza 4-5 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
4
Spezza
Dubois
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (292)
43.2% (368)
+14.7%
Power Play
62.3% (53)
50.0% (14)
+12.3%
On even strength, Spezza has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Spezza is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Spezza shoots right. Dubois is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Spezza
Dubois
Home
58.4% (238)
44.6% (130)
Away
55.5% (245)
42.9% (252)
By Period
Spezza
Dubois
P1
59.2%
49.6%
P2
54.8%
37.6%
P3
57.4%
43.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.9%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |