Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Peverley 57.7% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Peverley leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 78.3%
Defensive zone
Spezza 68.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 70.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Spezza
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
20
(28 meetings)
8
20
Spezza
Peverley
Last 10: Spezza 0-10 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
2
5
Spezza
Peverley
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
5
9
Spezza
Peverley
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
1
6
Spezza
Peverley
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
58.0% (1,715)
-3.6%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
57.0% (391)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
59.2% (333)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Peverley is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Spezza
Peverley
Home
56.8% (5,066)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Spezza
Peverley
P1
55.7%
59.6%
P2
54.4%
57.8%
P3
54.1%
57.0%
OT
51.5%
51.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2013 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 2 | 08:30 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 06:21 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 09:24 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |