Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 41 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Kesler 55.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 60-46 in 106 meetings
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Spezza
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
60
-
46
(106 meetings)
60
46
Spezza
Kesler
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
35
6
Spezza
Kesler
41 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
8
21
Spezza
Kesler
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
17
19
Spezza
Kesler
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
56.4% (8,095)
-2.0%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
60.7% (1,437)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
50.5% (1,908)
+2.2%
On power play, Kesler has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kesler
Home
56.8% (5,066)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Spezza
Kesler
P1
55.7%
56.5%
P2
54.4%
55.9%
P3
54.1%
56.1%
OT
51.5%
46.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 3 | 02:49 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 11:46 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 06:28 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |