Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Kesler 52.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 70.3%
Defensive zone
Kesler 53.3%
Neutral zone
Kesler 52.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Spezza
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Spezza
Kesler
Last 10: Spezza 9-1 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
8
0
Spezza
Kesler
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
3
Spezza
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (1,097)
53.8% (1,005)
+0.1%
Power Play
54.8% (250)
56.6% (205)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (89)
42.3% (196)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Spezza is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Spezza shoots right. Kesler is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kesler
Home
55.8% (695)
54.1% (719)
Away
52.2% (741)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Spezza
Kesler
P1
50.3%
53.1%
P2
54.7%
54.5%
P3
56.0%
50.3%
OT
73.7%
47.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |