Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spooner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Spooner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Spooner 43.6% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spooner 56.5%
Defensive zone
Spooner 55.0%
Neutral zone
Spooner 62.3%
Result
Ryan Spooner favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Spezza
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Spezza
Spooner
Last 9: Spezza 3-6 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spooner
3
6
Spezza
Spooner
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
43.1% (1,540)
+11.3%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
46.3% (67)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
42.1% (19)
+10.6%
On even strength, Spezza has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Spooner is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Spezza
Spooner
Home
56.8% (5,066)
43.9% (779)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
42.6% (847)
By Period
Spezza
Spooner
P1
55.7%
45.0%
P2
54.4%
46.2%
P3
54.1%
38.2%
OT
51.5%
35.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 05:09 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |