Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spooner on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Spezza wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Spooner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 57.3% vs Spooner 51.2% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spooner 70.6%
Defensive zone
Spooner 55.6%
Neutral zone
Spooner 61.4%
Result
Ryan Spooner favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Spezza
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Spezza
Spooner
Last 7: Spezza 2-5 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spooner
2
5
Spezza
Spooner
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (697)
52.5% (99)
+5.5%
Power Play
60.0% (105)
46.2% (13)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
100.0% (1)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Spooner has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Spezza is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Spezza shoots right. Spooner is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Spezza
Spooner
Home
58.2% (376)
55.2% (58)
Away
58.2% (431)
49.1% (55)
By Period
Spezza
Spooner
P1
63.3%
55.3%
P2
54.9%
58.3%
P3
57.4%
41.4%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 05:09 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |