Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Matthias 46.6% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 91.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 67.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 85.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Spezza
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Spezza
Matthias
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
0
Spezza
Matthias
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
3
5
Spezza
Matthias
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Spezza
Matthias
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
46.4% (1,716)
+8.0%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
56.3% (103)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
41.7% (175)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Matthias is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Spezza
Matthias
Home
56.8% (5,066)
46.9% (933)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Spezza
Matthias
P1
55.7%
47.8%
P2
54.4%
49.4%
P3
54.1%
41.6%
OT
51.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |