Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 23 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Crosby 53.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 44-32 in 76 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 56.1%
Defensive zone
Spezza 52.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 55.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Spezza
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
32
(76 meetings)
44
32
Spezza
Crosby
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
17
13
Spezza
Crosby
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
14
9
Spezza
Crosby
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
13
10
Spezza
Crosby
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
52.8% (17,967)
+1.6%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
57.4% (4,729)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
47.1% (765)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,652).
Home / Away
Spezza
Crosby
Home
56.8% (5,066)
55.0% (11,945)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Spezza
Crosby
P1
55.7%
53.6%
P2
54.4%
53.8%
P3
54.1%
53.3%
OT
51.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
54.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 04:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |