Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.2%). Look for Weiss on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Spezza wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.3% vs Weiss 53.0% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Weiss leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Weiss 50.5%
Defensive zone
Weiss 53.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 51.0%
Result
Stephen Weiss favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Spezza
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Spezza
Weiss
Last 10: Spezza 2-8 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
1
3
Spezza
Weiss
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
2
5
Spezza
Weiss
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Spezza
Weiss
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,283)
53.3% (1,038)
+0.5%
Power Play
52.8% (303)
55.6% (268)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (89)
45.4% (119)
+4.0%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,197).
Spezza shoots right. Weiss is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Spezza
Weiss
Home
56.4% (853)
55.2% (764)
Away
50.5% (847)
50.9% (705)
By Period
Spezza
Weiss
P1
53.4%
55.7%
P2
54.2%
52.3%
P3
53.4%
53.0%
OT
44.4%
35.1%
Final 5 min
52.7%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 10:45 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |