Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Spezza wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Teravainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.4% vs Teravainen 42.8% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 88.9%
Defensive zone
Spezza 66.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 85.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Spezza
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Spezza
Teravainen
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
1
Spezza
Teravainen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Teravainen
0
2
Spezza
Teravainen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Teravainen
0
1
Spezza
Teravainen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (763)
40.9% (252)
+12.3%
Power Play
60.9% (197)
37.0% (27)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (21)
40.0% (30)
+17.1%
On power play, Spezza has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Spezza is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Spezza shoots right. Teravainen is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Spezza
Teravainen
Home
57.5% (518)
36.6% (153)
Away
51.8% (463)
44.2% (156)
By Period
Spezza
Teravainen
P1
55.4%
45.3%
P2
54.1%
30.6%
P3
55.5%
45.1%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.1%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |