Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Galiardi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Galiardi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Galiardi 43.7% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 67.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 51.9%
Neutral zone
Galiardi 50.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Spezza
Galiardi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Spezza
Galiardi
Last 7: Spezza 3-4 Galiardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Galiardi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Galiardi
0
2
Spezza
Galiardi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Galiardi
1
2
Spezza
Galiardi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Galiardi
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
42.0% (388)
+12.4%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
48.1% (27)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
42.9% (70)
+9.8%
On even strength, Spezza has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Galiardi shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Galiardi is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Spezza
Galiardi
Home
56.8% (5,066)
44.6% (271)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
39.5% (215)
By Period
Spezza
Galiardi
P1
55.7%
39.1%
P2
54.4%
45.3%
P3
54.1%
42.2%
OT
51.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Galiardi
36.0%▼
38.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | TJ Galiardi |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | TJ Galiardi |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | TJ Galiardi |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 1 | 03:55 | Neutral | TJ Galiardi |