Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kopecky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Kopecky 47.2% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 83.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 89.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 88.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Spezza
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Spezza
Kopecky
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
2
Spezza
Kopecky
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
1
Spezza
Kopecky
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Kopecky
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
47.3% (438)
+7.1%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
42.3% (142)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
51.3% (80)
+1.4%
On power play, Spezza has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Kopecky is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kopecky
Home
56.8% (5,066)
51.9% (364)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
40.7% (305)
By Period
Spezza
Kopecky
P1
55.7%
47.4%
P2
54.4%
42.5%
P3
54.1%
49.3%
OT
51.5%
58.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2011 | OT | 00:42 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |