Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kopecky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.9% vs Kopecky 49.5% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 74.7%
Defensive zone
Spezza 77.5%
Neutral zone
Spezza 76.5%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Spezza
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Spezza
Kopecky
Last 6: Spezza 5-1 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Kopecky
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
0
Spezza
Kopecky
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (88)
53.7% (41)
+0.8%
Power Play
75.0% (16)
37.9% (29)
+37.1%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (15)
56.3% (16)
-3.0%
On power play, Spezza has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Spezza is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Spezza shoots right. Kopecky is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kopecky
Home
62.2% (45)
56.6% (53)
Away
54.1% (74)
36.4% (33)
By Period
Spezza
Kopecky
P1
58.7%
63.0%
P2
64.1%
46.7%
P3
46.9%
37.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
57.1%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |