Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.2% vs Nosek 50.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 52.7%
Defensive zone
Spezza 51.2%
Neutral zone
Spezza 50.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Spezza
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Spezza
Nosek
Last 6: Spezza 3-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Spezza
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Spezza
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (346)
51.2% (377)
+1.4%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
50.0% (10)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (11)
41.3% (46)
+31.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Spezza is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Spezza shoots right. Nosek is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Spezza
Nosek
Home
56.0% (175)
48.3% (240)
Away
52.5% (223)
52.3% (193)
By Period
Spezza
Nosek
P1
56.8%
48.4%
P2
54.3%
51.4%
P3
50.8%
50.8%
Final 5 min
51.0%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |