Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Leino 46.1% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 90.5%
Defensive zone
Spezza 90.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 94.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Spezza
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Spezza
Leino
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Leino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
8
0
Spezza
Leino
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Leino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
46.1% (596)
+8.3%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
42.1% (57)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
33.3% (6)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Leino is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Spezza
Leino
Home
56.8% (5,066)
46.1% (334)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
45.0% (329)
By Period
Spezza
Leino
P1
55.7%
45.9%
P2
54.4%
44.8%
P3
54.1%
45.6%
OT
51.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Ville Leino |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 10:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Ville Leino |