Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Leino 45.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 91.0%
Defensive zone
Spezza 72.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 84.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Spezza
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Spezza
Leino
Last 6: Spezza 5-1 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Leino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
0
Spezza
Leino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Leino
0
1
Spezza
Leino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (1,097)
43.7% (254)
+10.2%
Power Play
54.8% (250)
43.8% (32)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (89)
0.0% (1)
+52.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,020).
Spezza shoots right. Leino is 34.7% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Spezza
Leino
Home
55.8% (695)
45.0% (160)
Away
52.2% (741)
41.7% (127)
By Period
Spezza
Leino
P1
50.3%
43.6%
P2
54.7%
42.3%
P3
56.0%
43.7%
OT
73.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |