Jason Spezza vs Vincent Lecavalier
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lecavalier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.4% vs Lecavalier 50.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 80.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 58.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 72.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Spezza
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Spezza
Lecavalier
Last 7: Spezza 5-2 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Lecavalier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Lecavalier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (763)
49.1% (489)
+4.1%
Power Play
60.9% (197)
59.3% (59)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (21)
59.5% (37)
-2.4%
On even strength, Spezza has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Spezza is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Spezza shoots right. Lecavalier is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Spezza
Lecavalier
Home
57.5% (518)
52.4% (317)
Away
51.8% (463)
48.9% (268)
By Period
Spezza
Lecavalier
P1
55.4%
54.5%
P2
54.1%
49.0%
P3
55.5%
48.7%
OT
25.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
59.1%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |