Scouting Report
Zenon Konopka holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Spezza wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Konopka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.8% vs Konopka 57.0% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 55.7%
Defensive zone
Konopka 92.0%
Neutral zone
Konopka 69.5%
Result
Zenon Konopka favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Spezza
Konopka
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Spezza
Konopka
Last 10: Spezza 9-1 Konopka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
2
Spezza
Konopka
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
2
Spezza
Konopka
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Konopka
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (795)
59.0% (754)
-2.9%
Power Play
56.9% (211)
64.3% (56)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (190)
52.3% (258)
+4.0%
On power play, Konopka has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konopka shoots left. Spezza is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Spezza shoots right. Konopka is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Spezza
Konopka
Home
56.6% (532)
57.3% (513)
Away
56.0% (678)
58.0% (562)
By Period
Spezza
Konopka
P1
58.8%
61.5%
P2
59.6%
54.9%
P3
50.4%
57.4%
OT
57.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Konopka
60.0%▲
54.5%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 2 | 16:20 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |