Scouting Report
Zenon Konopka holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Konopka on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Konopka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Konopka 59.2% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 92.1%
Defensive zone
Konopka 56.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 63.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Spezza
Konopka
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Spezza
Konopka
Last 8: Spezza 2-6 Konopka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Konopka
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Konopka
0
4
Spezza
Konopka
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Konopka
0
1
Spezza
Konopka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Konopka
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (1,097)
62.4% (423)
-8.5%
Power Play
54.8% (250)
55.6% (9)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (89)
56.3% (135)
-3.5%
On even strength, Konopka has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konopka shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,020).
Spezza shoots right. Konopka is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Spezza
Konopka
Home
55.8% (695)
66.7% (270)
Away
52.2% (741)
55.6% (297)
By Period
Spezza
Konopka
P1
50.3%
55.6%
P2
54.7%
63.5%
P3
56.0%
63.7%
OT
73.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
64.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Konopka
60.0%▲
54.5%
60.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Zenon Konopka |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Zenon Konopka |