Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Burish wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 53.8% vs Beagle 56.7% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Burish 56.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 57.3%
Neutral zone
Beagle 52.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Burish
Beagle
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (958)
57.5% (4,994)
-2.9%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
60.5% (119)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (270)
54.2% (1,554)
-1.2%
On power play, Beagle has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Burish is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Burish shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Home / Away
Burish
Beagle
Home
58.1% (578)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
50.7% (698)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Burish
Beagle
P1
53.0%
57.4%
P2
53.8%
57.1%
P3
55.8%
56.2%
OT
40.0%
41.3%
Final 5 min
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%