Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Beagle 56.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Grant 69.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 93.1%
Neutral zone
Grant 70.5%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Grant
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Grant
Beagle
Last 10: Grant 4-6 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Grant
Beagle
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Grant
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
6
Grant
Beagle
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
57.5% (4,994)
-3.8%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
60.5% (119)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
54.2% (1,554)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Grant
Beagle
Home
54.3% (1,956)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Grant
Beagle
P1
51.1%
57.4%
P2
51.5%
57.1%
P3
54.3%
56.2%
OT
35.7%
41.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 19:54 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 2 | 01:30 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |