Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 51.9% vs Beagle 55.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 87.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 76.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 60.5%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Spezza
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Spezza
Beagle
Last 6: Spezza 2-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Spezza
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Spezza
Beagle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Beagle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (526)
56.8% (799)
-5.5%
Power Play
57.7% (123)
64.7% (17)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
54.6% (291)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Spezza is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Spezza shoots right. Beagle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Spezza
Beagle
Home
53.7% (374)
57.6% (552)
Away
50.3% (304)
55.1% (555)
By Period
Spezza
Beagle
P1
50.2%
56.9%
P2
50.2%
59.0%
P3
56.2%
54.0%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.2%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 12:36 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 21, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |