Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Carter 53.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 77.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 73.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 53.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Beagle
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Beagle
Carter
Last 10: Beagle 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
9
Beagle
Carter
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
6
4
Beagle
Carter
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
53.3% (8,728)
+4.2%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
57.3% (1,554)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
46.3% (1,087)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Beagle shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Beagle
Carter
Home
59.1% (3,228)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Beagle
Carter
P1
57.4%
53.6%
P2
57.1%
52.8%
P3
56.2%
53.1%
OT
41.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 11:18 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 5, 2017 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |