Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 58.0% vs Carter 51.1% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 90.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 75.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 52.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Beagle
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Beagle
Carter
Last 5: Beagle 2-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Beagle
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Beagle
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (458)
52.2% (552)
+6.8%
Power Play
84.2% (19)
56.4% (94)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
57.2% (201)
41.0% (100)
+16.2%
On power play, Beagle has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Beagle is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Beagle shoots right. Carter is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Beagle
Carter
Home
62.7% (306)
51.2% (324)
Away
56.2% (372)
51.2% (422)
By Period
Beagle
Carter
P1
64.5%
49.8%
P2
56.7%
52.8%
P3
56.2%
51.2%
Final 5 min
62.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 11:18 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |