Jay Beagle vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Beagle 50.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 98.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 92.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Beagle
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Beagle
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Beagle 8-2 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
3
Beagle
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
0
Beagle
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
2
Beagle
Kotkaniemi
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
49.0% (3,852)
+8.5%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
51.3% (351)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
45.7% (35)
+8.5%
On power play, Beagle has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,454).
Home / Away
Beagle
Kotkaniemi
Home
59.1% (3,228)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Beagle
Kotkaniemi
P1
57.4%
49.9%
P2
57.1%
50.4%
P3
56.2%
47.2%
OT
41.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |