Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Colborne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.0% vs Colborne 52.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 62.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 92.2%
Neutral zone
Beagle 74.2%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Beagle
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Beagle
Colborne
Last 8: Beagle 5-3 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Colborne
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Colborne
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
1
Beagle
Colborne
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (485)
54.3% (94)
+3.8%
Power Play
84.6% (13)
54.4% (57)
+30.2%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
75.0% (4)
-19.6%
On power play, Beagle has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Beagle shoots right. Colborne is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Home / Away
Beagle
Colborne
Home
57.0% (307)
62.5% (88)
Away
59.1% (330)
44.8% (67)
By Period
Beagle
Colborne
P1
59.1%
58.7%
P2
59.8%
56.1%
P3
56.4%
47.6%
OT
20.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2015 | 3 | 13:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |