Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Larsson 49.5% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 18-11 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Beagle 80.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 93.2%
Neutral zone
Beagle 86.4%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Beagle
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
11
(29 meetings)
18
11
Beagle
Larsson
Last 10: Beagle 5-5 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
9
2
Beagle
Larsson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
2
Beagle
Larsson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
4
7
Beagle
Larsson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
50.5% (4,382)
+7.0%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
47.7% (153)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
43.8% (714)
+10.4%
On power play, Beagle has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Home / Away
Beagle
Larsson
Home
59.1% (3,228)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Beagle
Larsson
P1
57.4%
51.6%
P2
57.1%
49.7%
P3
56.2%
47.2%
OT
41.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
56.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 1 | 04:22 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |