Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.2% vs Larsson 45.4% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 57.1%
Defensive zone
Beagle 89.2%
Neutral zone
Beagle 77.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Beagle
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Beagle
Larsson
Last 6: Beagle 4-2 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Larsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Larsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
2
Beagle
Larsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (284)
45.2% (290)
+12.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
38.6% (44)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (97)
28.6% (7)
+24.0%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Beagle is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Beagle shoots right. Larsson is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Beagle
Larsson
Home
57.9% (183)
45.1% (153)
Away
55.2% (201)
43.1% (188)
By Period
Beagle
Larsson
P1
54.7%
45.3%
P2
62.1%
41.4%
P3
50.9%
44.0%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.5%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 14:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |