Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.8% vs Larsson 49.1% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Beagle 74.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 88.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 90.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
Beagle
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Beagle
Larsson
Last 10: Beagle 7-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Larsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
1
Beagle
Larsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
1
Beagle
Larsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (799)
48.9% (501)
+7.9%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
50.0% (6)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (291)
50.0% (26)
+4.6%
On power play, Beagle has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Beagle is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Beagle shoots right. Larsson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Beagle
Larsson
Home
57.6% (552)
51.7% (265)
Away
55.1% (555)
46.3% (268)
By Period
Beagle
Larsson
P1
56.9%
58.8%
P2
59.0%
44.1%
P3
54.0%
44.0%
OT
40.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2016 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 1 | 04:22 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |