Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Mitchell 51.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Mitchell 79.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 68.7%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 54.5%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Beagle
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Beagle
Mitchell
Last 10: Beagle 3-7 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
Beagle
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
4
Beagle
Mitchell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
1
Beagle
Mitchell
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
51.8% (2,965)
+5.7%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
54.1% (196)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
44.1% (401)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Home / Away
Beagle
Mitchell
Home
59.1% (3,228)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Beagle
Mitchell
P1
57.4%
52.0%
P2
57.1%
49.9%
P3
56.2%
50.9%
OT
41.3%
69.2%
Final 5 min
56.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |