Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.0% vs Mitchell 49.0% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 69.6%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 57.0%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 59.2%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Beagle
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Beagle
Mitchell
Last 5: Beagle 1-4 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
Beagle
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Beagle
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Mitchell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (485)
52.5% (676)
+5.6%
Power Play
84.6% (13)
55.6% (18)
+29.0%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
32.3% (155)
+23.1%
On power play, Beagle has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Beagle shoots right. Mitchell is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Beagle
Mitchell
Home
57.0% (307)
52.2% (450)
Away
59.1% (330)
45.1% (399)
By Period
Beagle
Mitchell
P1
59.1%
51.2%
P2
59.8%
50.2%
P3
56.4%
44.8%
OT
20.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |