Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Beagle wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 58.0% vs Staal 54.1% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 92.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 84.0%
16.0%
84.0%
Beagle
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Beagle
Staal
Last 9: Beagle 1-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
6
Beagle
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Beagle
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (458)
54.2% (943)
+4.8%
Power Play
84.2% (19)
69.6% (79)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
57.2% (201)
50.8% (262)
+6.4%
On power play, Beagle has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Beagle is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Beagle shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Beagle
Staal
Home
62.7% (306)
55.0% (593)
Away
56.2% (372)
54.0% (691)
By Period
Beagle
Staal
P1
64.5%
54.3%
P2
56.7%
53.5%
P3
56.2%
55.2%
Final 5 min
62.8%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 14:38 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |