Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Williams shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Williams 45.4% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 86.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 91.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 62.1%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Beagle
Williams
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Beagle
Williams
Last 8: Beagle 4-4 Williams
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Williams
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Williams
2
3
Beagle
Williams
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Williams
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
41.5% (386)
+16.0%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
51.0% (243)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
34.6% (26)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Williams shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Beagle shoots right. Williams is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Beagle
Williams
Home
59.1% (3,228)
46.2% (327)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
43.3% (328)
By Period
Beagle
Williams
P1
57.4%
39.9%
P2
57.1%
46.1%
P3
56.2%
49.0%
OT
41.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Justin Williams |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Justin Williams |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Justin Williams |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Justin Williams |