Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Williams on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Williams shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.7% vs Williams 47.2% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 84.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 85.5%
Neutral zone
Williams 52.3%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Beagle
Williams
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Beagle
Williams
Last 7: Beagle 3-4 Williams
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Williams
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Williams
1
3
Beagle
Williams
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Williams
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (735)
43.7% (103)
+16.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
58.3% (12)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (256)
0.0% (1)
+53.9%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +53.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Williams shoots right. Beagle is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Beagle shoots right. Williams is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
Beagle
Williams
Home
61.9% (475)
45.0% (60)
Away
55.4% (523)
44.6% (56)
By Period
Beagle
Williams
P1
60.5%
50.0%
P2
54.4%
47.5%
P3
61.3%
36.4%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.5%
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2018 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Justin Williams |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Justin Williams |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Justin Williams |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Justin Williams |