Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +22.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Beagle wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.0% vs Hayes 38.9% (+22.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 79.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 97.5%
Neutral zone
Beagle 93.4%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Beagle
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Beagle
Hayes
Last 9: Beagle 8-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
1
Beagle
Hayes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (485)
35.4% (362)
+22.7%
Power Play
84.6% (13)
52.9% (17)
+31.7%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
0.0% (2)
+55.4%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +55.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Beagle shoots right. Hayes is 33.1% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Beagle
Hayes
Home
57.0% (307)
36.8% (212)
Away
59.1% (330)
34.9% (169)
By Period
Beagle
Hayes
P1
59.1%
40.3%
P2
59.8%
31.1%
P3
56.4%
34.2%
OT
20.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2015 | 1 | 15:44 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 06:59 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |