Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 35 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 39-35 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 79.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 91.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 56.1%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Beagle
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
39
(74 meetings)
35
39
Beagle
Draisaitl
Last 10: Beagle 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
33
Beagle
Draisaitl
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
26
2
Beagle
Draisaitl
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
7
4
Beagle
Draisaitl
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
52.9% (10,240)
+4.6%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
55.7% (2,827)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
51.2% (977)
+3.0%
On power play, Beagle has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Home / Away
Beagle
Draisaitl
Home
59.1% (3,228)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Beagle
Draisaitl
P1
57.4%
52.7%
P2
57.1%
53.6%
P3
56.2%
53.4%
OT
41.3%
57.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |