Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Savard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Savard 50.7% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Savard 62.6%
Defensive zone
Beagle 92.8%
Neutral zone
Beagle 72.2%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Beagle
Savard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Beagle
Savard
Last 5: Beagle 3-2 Savard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Savard
0
1
Beagle
Savard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
1
Beagle
Savard
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Savard
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
49.8% (253)
+7.7%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
54.4% (68)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
33.3% (3)
+20.9%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Savard shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Savard is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Beagle
Savard
Home
59.1% (3,228)
54.1% (172)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
47.4% (156)
By Period
Beagle
Savard
P1
57.4%
57.7%
P2
57.1%
48.8%
P3
56.2%
46.2%
OT
41.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Savard
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Marc Savard |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Marc Savard |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |