Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Savard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 52.7% vs Savard 50.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Savard 51.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 50.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 54.3%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Beagle
Savard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Beagle
Savard
Last 5: Beagle 3-2 Savard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Savard
0
1
Beagle
Savard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
1
Beagle
Savard
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Savard
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (91)
49.8% (253)
+9.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
54.4% (68)
-54.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
33.3% (3)
+0.0%
On power play, Savard has a +54.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Savard shoots left. Beagle is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Beagle shoots right. Savard is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Beagle
Savard
Home
65.7% (35)
54.1% (172)
Away
50.0% (70)
47.4% (156)
By Period
Beagle
Savard
P1
63.2%
57.7%
P2
45.2%
48.8%
P3
60.9%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
55.2%
Savard
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Marc Savard |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Marc Savard |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |