Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Goc 52.3% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Goc leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Goc 79.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 56.8%
Neutral zone
Goc 68.4%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Beagle
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
11
(12 meetings)
1
11
Beagle
Goc
Last 10: Beagle 1-9 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
3
Beagle
Goc
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
2
Beagle
Goc
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
0
6
Beagle
Goc
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
53.0% (3,301)
+4.5%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
58.0% (314)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
47.4% (728)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Goc is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,607).
Home / Away
Beagle
Goc
Home
59.1% (3,228)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Beagle
Goc
P1
57.4%
51.9%
P2
57.1%
53.1%
P3
56.2%
52.4%
OT
41.3%
44.9%
Final 5 min
56.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 16:41 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |