Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Beagle wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.7% vs Jankowski 48.9% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 55.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 93.2%
Neutral zone
Beagle 79.9%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Beagle
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Beagle
Jankowski
Last 10: Beagle 7-3 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
2
Beagle
Jankowski
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (735)
49.5% (746)
+10.8%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
53.1% (32)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (256)
28.1% (32)
+25.8%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Beagle is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Beagle shoots right. Jankowski is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Beagle
Jankowski
Home
61.9% (475)
50.4% (399)
Away
55.4% (523)
47.2% (411)
By Period
Beagle
Jankowski
P1
60.5%
49.4%
P2
54.4%
48.7%
P3
61.3%
48.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.5%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |