Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.2% vs Letestu 52.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 54.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 57.2%
Neutral zone
Beagle 55.2%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Beagle
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Beagle
Letestu
Last 7: Beagle 4-3 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
1
Beagle
Letestu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Letestu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Letestu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (284)
55.5% (488)
+2.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
46.7% (15)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (97)
41.0% (100)
+11.6%
On power play, Letestu has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Beagle is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Beagle shoots right. Letestu is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Beagle
Letestu
Home
57.9% (183)
55.9% (297)
Away
55.2% (201)
50.0% (306)
By Period
Beagle
Letestu
P1
54.7%
49.2%
P2
62.1%
55.4%
P3
50.9%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.5%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 07:33 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 15:29 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |